Crude Oil and Natural Gas Analysis for Monday, 9 June 2025: Weekly Market Insights, Key Levels, and Strategies

Crude Oil Analysis and Natural Gas analysis have become central in the trading community, and traders who pay close attention to price levels often find themselves better prepared for fresh moves at the start of the week. On 6 June 2025, Bull vs Bear shared a detailed market breakdown, focusing on how both crude oil and natural gas behaved and what to expect for Monday, 9 June 2025. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, understanding support, resistance, breakout, and buffer zones is the backbone of solid trade planning. This post walks you through the multi-timeframe analysis of crude oil and natural gas—including exact levels to watch, trading psychology, and practical strategies for the upcoming week.  Let’s break down the action in a way that’s as clear as possible.

Overview of Today’s Market Analysis

Rajat Sharma, host of the Bull vs Bear channel, is known for simple, actionable insights. This analysis covers crude oil and natural gas price action, reviewing the charts on 6 June and setting the stage for likely moves on Monday, 9 June 2025. 

Key dates:

• Analysis Date: 6 June 2025
• Trading Focus: Monday, 9 June 2025

In this review, Rajat highlights why tracking closing levels, breakout zones, and support/resistance is more than just chartwork—it’s about having a plan for when volatility strikes. From weekly to hourly timeframes, the analysis uncovers hidden clues in price action, helping traders stay ahead.

Crude Oil Analysis

Weekly Time Frame Analysis of Crude Oil

Weekly charts build the backbone of any reliable analysis. They map out the broader direction and shape the context for intraday and swing trades.

What has crude oil been doing recently on the weekly chart?

• Price bounced after a recent downtrend—first from selling pressure, then a clear upward reaction off a major support zone.
• There was a sustained move inside a channel for a long time.
• Recently, price broke out of this channel—now the question is, will it sustain this move?
• The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sits overhead and may act as new resistance.

Weekly Chart Key Observations:

• Channel breakout: The price stayed inside a defined range for many weeks, then broke out.
• EMA resistance: The price moved up, but the EMA is still close—often price reacts strongly at this point.
• Support bounce: Each major dip found significant buyers, creating strong bounces.

When the market closes above a breakout area and sustains that move on a weekly basis, more upside can follow. If it fails, watch for a return to the channel.

Understanding Channel Breakout for Crude Oil

A channel breakout means price is no longer trapped in a sideways range. In the case of crude oil:

• Once the price broke through the channel, it tested the upper boundary.
• If the breakout holds, bullish levels open up.
• If price rejects the area (gets pushed back), a drop back into the range or even lower can play out.

Breakout and rejection matter. Weekly closing above the breakout zone signals real strength—a sign to watch on Monday and the coming week.

Daily Time Frame Insights for Crude Oil

Zooming in, the daily chart sets the tone for immediate trading.

Currently, crude oil spent a good bit of time moving inside a box-shaped range—from about 1500 to 1560. This range acted like a crowded hallway where the door hadn’t quite opened yet. On 6 June, the price pushed above this box and closed there for the day.

Buffer zone concept: The space between 1500 and roughly 1560 is a region where price often moves sideways or “tests” traders’ patience before a big move.

Here’s how the price can behave inside this buffer zone:

1. If closing is above 1560, upside levels get unlocked, promising bullish continuation.
2. If the price fails to hold the buffer zone, it risks sliding back into the old range, likely with increased choppiness.
3. Watching for a confirmed daily close—especially near new highs—can give the earliest clue to new momentum.

To sum up, traders eyeing the daily close can spot early signs of a real move versus another test of patience.

Hourly Time Frame and Key Levels

The hourly chart is where traders look for precise entries and exits.

Here’s where things stand for the intraday trader:

Key Resistance Levels (Sell Zones)

• 5500: The first major hurdle on any uptick. If price closes and sustains above, focus shifts to the next mark.
• 5600: After a successful test of 5500, 5600 becomes a crucial resistance—watch for how price reacts.
• 5700: Above this, short-term buyers likely gain confidence.
• 5763: Another landmark, where sellers could become more aggressive.
• 5918: The stretch target for the current bullish scenario.
• EMA and Trendlines: These aren’t fixed like price levels but move with price action and often act as hidden resistance.

Drawing trendlines is a must here—whenever price approaches the trendline, a bounce is possible. But once a trendline breaks, sellers often take charge.

How to read the hourly price action:

• Wait for actual closing above each resistance before entering a long trade.
• On breakouts, retests are critical—let the price test the new support before jumping in.
• If the price shows “rejection” at the EMA or trendline, be ready for a quick pullback or a shift in bias.

Critical Support Levels for Crude Oil on Hourly Chart

The support side of the hourly chart offers clues about where to place stops and set buy triggers if the market pulls back.

Key Support Levels (Buy Zones):

• 5470: Main support—if price remains above, buyers generally stay confident.
• 5434: If price dips below 5470, 5434 could trigger another round of buying.
• 5350: Deeper pullbacks often stabilize near here.
• 5275: If 5350 fails, this is the next significant area to watch.
• 5100–5275 demand zone: This is a wide buffer zone; buyers may swoop in anywhere in this range to reverse the move.

If the price closes below these levels, the bearish camp gains strength. Buffer points allow for surprise bounces, so don’t be surprised if price snaps back sharply from within this band.

Support Summary:

• 5470: Key line-in-the-sand; breaking means a change in control
• 5434: Minor but notable floor
• 5350 and 5275: Gradual steps lower—false bounces are often seen here.
• 5100–5275: Deep correction zone; a close below 5100 spells strong selling.

Trading Strategies Based on Crude Oil Zones

Success in crude oil analysis is often about rules and patience. Use these steps as a rough blueprint:

1. Identify if price is near a key resistance or support.
2. Wait for a confirmed close above resistance or below support before entering a trade.
3. Only trade after seeing a retest—if a level breaks, wait for price to come back and touch it as new support (long) or resistance (short).
4. Always place a stop-loss just beyond the breakout or breakdown point to protect your capital.
5. Monitor price action closely near the EMA and trendlines, as these often lead the first signal of reversal.
6. If price shows a “rejection” (quick reversal) at a strong level, exit or scale back exposure.

The best traders treat the market like a chessboard. Each level is a potential move—premature action often ends in a trap.

Natural Gas Analysis

Weekly Time Frame Analysis of Natural Gas

Shifting to natural gas, the weekly chart suggests a slightly bullish bias.

EMA Position: Price trading above the EMA is an early bullish sign—energy remains in buyers’ hands unless this changes.

Key Level: 327
Breaking and closing above 327 on a weekly basis would confirm a bullish W-pattern breakout, which tends to unleash sharp upward moves. Failing to do so could carve a bearish M-pattern—signaling possible downside moves.

Patterns in Play:

• W-pattern: Bullish breakout; forms by two lows with a higher high in the middle.
• M-pattern: Bearish reversal; two highs with a lower low between.

Watch the close above 327. It’s the main signal for longer-term traders.

Daily Time Frame Behavior and Trends for Natural Gas

Natural gas hasn’t quite managed a daily close above resistance (327) yet. Instead, a descending trendline acts as an invisible ceiling. As long as price is above, bulls have a slight upper hand. The daily chart shows the market consolidating into a range with several bounce attempts off lower levels. These bounces mean bulls are still showing interest, but until a clean break happens, patience trumps overconfidence. Trendline resistance could send prices lower temporarily, but as long as traders see higher lows, the bullish structure holds.

Hourly Time Frame and Crucial Price Zones

Natural gas has been stuck trading inside a box for quite some time—from about 314 up to 326.6. This tight range has kept both bulls and bears guessing.

Here’s how things could unfold:

1. If price breaks above 327 and closes there:

• Wait for a retest; only buy once it shows support at that level.
• Next targets: 338.5, then 348, then 350.

2. If price breaks below 310:

• Wait for a retest as resistance before going short.
• Downside targets: 305, 301, soon after.

Breakout/Breakdown Step-by-Step:

• 327 is the upside breakout number—bulls take charge only on solid closing above this.
• 310 is the downside trigger—bears win if the close is under this line.
• Always watch for retests, especially in this boxy trading structure, to avoid being caught in a false move.

Downside Price Targets and Support Levels

Breakdowns in natural gas are often quick and can cause many traders to act out of panic. Knowing supports keeps you cool.

Key Supports:

• 313: First minor floor; if price slips through, look for sharper moves below.
• 310: Big pivot; breakdown here brings quick selling.
• 305, 301, 295, 293: Each of these levels is a place where price might pause, consolidate, or bounce.
• 291: Significant—previous reversals started here, trendline might also join in.
• 288: Important marker—breaking below leads to a selloff towards 285 and maybe down to 275.

Trap Zones:
Multiple traps exist between 313 and 291. Both buyers and sellers can get stuck, especially if orders are too close together. Watch for retests and avoid overtrading during choppy sessions. Often when these “trap” areas unwind, price moves quickly in the opposite direction.

Support Level Rundown:

• 313: Pivot; break means caution.
• 310: Breakdown confirmation.
• 305 to 295: Small floors, potential for bounce.
• 291: Last stronghold; if broken, opens up deep downside.
• 288: Below here, strong selling can start.
• 285 and 275: Panic bottom zones—watch closely.

Upside Price Targets and Resistance Levels

For buyers to have their day, certain hurdles need to be crossed, step by step.

Upside Triggers:

• 320: First breakout; must retest and confirm as support.
• 323: Buffer zone—price action here tells a lot about intent.
• 327: Key breakout for short-term trend; again, retest is vital.
• Between 323 and 327, the market tests direction—wait for a real breakout and supportive volume.

After the breakout:

• 338.5: Immediate upside target.
• 348: Feasible medium-term resistance.
• 350: The round number where many traders might lock in profits.

Be wary of jumping the gun—especially in the buffer zone (323-327). Only take bullish trades with actual positive price action and proper confirmation.

Trading Advice for Natural Gas Based on Price Action

Want consistency? Follow concrete, no-nonsense rules:

1. Wait for a confirmed close above or below major breakout/breakdown lines.
2. Enter a trade only after a retest of the breakout zone—this shrinks risk.
3. Mind trap zones and avoid chasing. If volatile “fake” moves happen, stay sidelined and wait for clarity.
4. Place your stop-loss below/above obvious trendlines or strong support/resistance.
5. Stay disciplined—don’t let FOMO or early signals force a hasty trade. 

Additional Value and Resources

Importance of Trading Psychology Alongside Technical Analysis

Trading is never just math and lines on a chart. Ask any experienced trader what really sets winners apart, and you’ll hear about discipline, emotional control, and how they handle losses.

Rajat Sharma’s MCX-focused course introduces this missing ingredient that many traders overlook: trading psychology. The truth is, about 70% of trading success comes from mindset, with only 30% from technical skills. If you’ve ever blown up an account or watched winning trades turn to losses because of emotion—this topic is for you. Learn not just when to enter or exit, but how to stay cool, recover from setbacks, and bounce back stronger.

Overview of the Stock Market Course

The MCX Stock Market Course is built in two parts:

• Technical Analysis: Step-by-step guides to reading charts, identifying patterns, and applying indicators with real examples.
• Trading Psychology: Deep-dives into staying disciplined, dealing with big losses, rebuilding confidence, and keeping risk in check—even when the market feels wild.

If you’re new, or even if you’ve struggled after a few big drawdowns, this course could help fast-track your education. The content is available instantly after purchase for review at your own pace. See what’s covered and get started here. And if joining a paid course isn’t your thing, keep using free resources and YouTube—but never stop learning. Markets always reward preparation.

How to Use This Analysis for Monday Trading

With so many levels to track, here’s a quick checklist for Monday’s trading:

• Use the weekly, daily, and hourly levels to create a watchlist.
• Wait for confirmation: don’t trade every breakout or breakdown—look for daily or hourly closing and solid retests.
• Manage risk: set clear stop-loss points below supports (if long) or above resistance (if short).
• Stay patient: avoid impulsive trades, especially in trap zones.
• Be honest with your trading—one good trade is better than ten random ones.

Key highlights:

• Confirm breakout/breakdown before trading
• Retests offer quality entry points, not just the first sign of movement
• Respect stop-losses and don’t widen them in hope
• Watch EMA and trendline levels for potential reversals 

Summary of Key Price Levels and Patterns

Crude Oil – Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance Levels:

• 5500
• 5600
• 5700
• 5763
• 5918

Support Levels:

• 5470
• 5434
• 5350
• 5275
• 5100–5275 (demand zone)

Note: EMA and trendlines may act as dynamic zones of support or resistance, watch for price reactions here.

Natural Gas – Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance Levels:

• 320
• 323
• 327
• 338.5
• 348
• 350

Support Levels:

• 313
• 310
• 305
• 301
• 295
• 293
• 291
• 288
• 285
• 275

Trap zones are especially active between 313 and 291, with trendlines providing extra context for reversals. 

Conclusion

Reading Crude Oil Analysis and Natural Gas analysis doesn’t need to be overwhelming. By focusing on key levels, learning how to spot genuine breakouts and traps, and practicing sound trading psychology, anyone can improve their trading outcomes.

The next market week opens a canvas of opportunity for the disciplined trader. Prepare, wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and never stop learning. And if you want to fast track your growth, consider the resources and courses provided by Bull vs Bear.

Trade smart, stay patient, and let the market come to you.

 

Crude Oil Analysis

Weekly Time Frame Analysis of Crude Oil

The weekly chart paints the bigger picture and filters out the noise, setting up the boundaries for your trading week.

Recent developments:

• Crude oil has consistently bounced from support, but heavy selling has tested that resolve.
• For weeks, oil was locked inside a tight channel before a recent breakout.
• Suspending above this channel signals bulls are waking up, but the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hovers overhead as dynamic resistance.
• A clean, strong close above that breakout area could open up higher targets—but a rejection could mean sliding right back into the previous range.

Weekly Chart Key Points:

• Channel breakout after sideways drift
• EMA resistance waiting overhead
• Repeated bounces at defined support

Reading the weekly chart helps you avoid chasing false moves on smaller timeframes.

Understanding Channel Breakout for Crude Oil

A channel breakout tells you when price escapes a long-standing range, hinting at a new trend.

What happens next?

• If the breakout is genuine and price stays above the top of the channel, more upside is likely.
• If the move fails and price gets rejected, expect a quick slide back within the box—and perhaps even deeper losses.

Weekly closes give the real answer. A solid finish outside the channel confirms the breakout; a reversal signals indecision or trap.

Daily Time Frame Insights for Crude Oil

On daily charts, crude oil recently traded in a tight box between 1500 and 1560.

Here’s why that matters:

• This buffer zone held both buyers and sellers in check, acting like a lid and a floor at the same time.
• A daily close above 1560 wakes up the bulls and clears the way for higher targets.
• Stalling or rejection at the buffer’s edge risks returning to the box for more choppy trading.

How price can move within this buffer zone:

1. Consolidates within 1500–1560—expect back-and-forth swings.
2. Confirms a close above 1560—momentum traders look for upside follow-through.
3. Fades back into the range—look for short opportunities near the top edge.

The first clue to coming action on Monday often appears on the daily close Friday or Sunday night.

Hourly Time Frame and Key Levels

For quick moves and precise trade setups, the hourly chart is gold.

Key Resistance Levels

• 5500: Immediate hurdle for bulls.
• 5600: Break here fuels a push to 5700.
• 5700: Sends a green signal for more buying.
• 5763: Often marks the last resistance before major momentum runs.
• 5918: Longer-term, aggressive target.

EMA and trendlines twist and turn with price; often, the first test of either triggers a sharp counter-move. Drawing trendlines keeps you ready for sudden bounces or breakdowns.

How to use hourly zones:

• Wait for candles to close and retest breakout spots before trading.
• Watch for price to stall or quickly reverse at the EMA or trendline.

Critical Support Levels for Crude Oil on Hourly Chart

Major Support Levels:

• 5470: Main anchor point—bulls keep charge above here.
• 5434: A break introduces rapid selling.
• 5350: Bears take over if price dives this deep.
• 5275: Last support before panic mode.
• 5100–5275: Wide demand zone—any deep dip could reverse sharply.

Support Level Cheatsheet:

• Watch for sudden bounces inside the 5100–5275 range.
• Lose 5100, and the selling could snowball.

Trading Strategies Based on Crude Oil Zones

Trading is about waiting for proof, not gambling on guesses.

Step-by-step crude oil trading plan:

1. Know if price is at, above, or below key support/resistance.
2. For buys, wait until the price closes above resistance and retests it as support.
3. For sells, wait for a close below support, then retest as resistance.
4. Place a stop-loss just beyond the breakout/breakdown.
5. Observe the EMA and trendline—if price stalls or rejects here, consider taking profits or reversing bias.
6. Never chase. Wild wicks or fake breakouts often catch impulsive traders.

 

Natural Gas Analysis

Weekly Time Frame Analysis of Natural Gas

On the weekly chart, natural gas is showing a slight bullish tilt by staying above the weekly EMA.

The most important level? 327

• A weekly close beyond 327 confirms a bullish W-pattern breakout and points to energy for more gains.
• If 327 holds as resistance, a bearish M-pattern could play out, pushing price back toward the lows.

Set your long-range view by watching this one line.

Daily Time Frame Behavior and Trends for Natural Gas

Daily charts show that gas hasn’t closed above that 327 ceiling just yet. A strong downward trendline is the gatekeeper here—if price stays above, bulls have hope.

In the meantime, natural gas builds a tight range with sharp bounces, each testing the nerves of both camps. Only a decisive daily close above the trendline breaks the deadlock and sets a clear direction.

Always treat trendline as a divider: price above = bullish, below = bearish.

Hourly Time Frame and Crucial Price Zones

On hourly charts, natural gas is boxed tightly between 314 and 326.6.

What matters in this “box”?

• 327: Break above and hold opens new bullish targets…but ONLY after a retest.
• 310: Break below and hold will trigger sharp drops.

What’s the best play?

• Don’t jump on the first spike. Wait for a close and retest, then act.
• In prolonged choppiness (the “trap” zone), be cautious—stopouts are common.

Downside Price Targets and Support Levels

Breakdown moves can feel like the market’s cutting through old support like butter. Here are the critical spots:

• 313: First domino—once it falls, more may come.
• 310: Key breakdown level.
• 305, 301, 295, 293: Each can serve as a speed bump or reversal trigger.
• 291: Historic bounce point, plus trendline confluence.
• 288: Fails here? Next stop, 285.
• 275: Deep panic bottom.

Summary of support and trap zones:

• Between 313 and 291, many will get whipsawed if not careful—price fakes out both buyers and sellers before the big move.

Upside Price Targets and Resistance Levels

Here’s the bullish roadmap:

• 320: First breakout—wait for a retest.
• 323–327: Buffer zone; holds clues for next move.
• 338.5: First clear upside target on a fresh breakout.
• 348 and 350: High-water marks for bulls.

Each new close above a resistance should be followed by a patience test—don’t rush in, let price prove itself with a retest.

Trading Advice for Natural Gas Based on Price Action

Ready to avoid costly mistakes? Use these tight rules:

1. Check for a confirmed close above or below critical levels.
2. Only enter after a retest of the breakout or breakdown—it usually “proves” the move.
3. Beware the “trap” ranges—avoid overtrading during chop.
4. Set a stop-loss near nearest trendline or support/resistance.
5. If a move loses steam or forms a sharp whip back, exit and regroup.

A cool head is a trader’s best tool.

Summary of Key Levels and Patterns

Crude Oil – Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance:

• 5500
• 5600
• 5700
• 5763
• 5918

Support:

• 5470
• 5434
• 5350
• 5275
• 5100–5275 (demand zone)

EMA and trendlines will likely mark reversals—record them on your chart each new week.

Natural Gas – Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance:

• 320
• 323
• 327
• 338.5
• 348
• 350

Support:

• 313
• 310
• 305
• 301
• 295
• 293
• 291
• 288
• 285
• 275

Trap zones between 313–291 catch many traders on the wrong side—don’t let it be you. 

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