Forex Weekly Forecast June 9-13, 2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Gold (XAU/USD) – Key Technical Setups & Trade Plans
Step into the new trading week with confidence and a game plan. Traders worldwide seek an edge. This week, Vladimir Ribakov from Home Trader Club lays out a thorough Forex Weekly Forecast for June 9-13, 2025. The markets on the radar: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold (XAU/USD). Markets are approaching big turning points. With smart technical levels mapped out, momentum is building. Read on for Vladimir’s deep technical review, scenario planning, and clear entry tactics. Whether you’re just starting or you’re trading full-time, you’ll find solid setups and actionable ideas. Technical signals, volume levels, and chart structures all come together this week. Let’s get to it.
This Week’s Forex Market Overview
The spotlight is on four major markets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold (XAU/USD). Each is standing near highly significant technical levels. The coming weeks may shape trends for the rest of the month—or even the summer. Preparation is key. Technical analysis remains a trader’s best map right now. Cues from support, resistance, volume profiles, and divergences help spot the turning points and manage risk. Each pair and asset carries unique opportunities, and a clear battle between bulls and bears is playing out.
EUR/USD Analysis
Recap: Last Week’s Setup
Last week, expectations called for range-bound action on EUR/USD before a potential upside move. While a dip lower looked possible, the euro instead snapped up after a modest pullback. Sellers tried to drag it lower, but a surge powered the euro to new highs. A key supply level has stayed firm so far. This area acts as the gatekeeper for further gains or a significant reversal. All eyes remain on whether bulls keep squeezing higher or if sellers regain control.
Critical Technical Zones & Indicators
Keep these EUR/USD levels and signals front and center:
- Support Zone: 1.1360–1.1320. Bulls need to defend this zone to sustain momentum.
- Upside Supply Level: This resistance, identified through multi-timeframe analysis, has held strong.
- Bullish Structure: Three consecutive higher highs and higher lows established on H4 and daily.
- Volume Profile Confluence: A cluster identified by the KTLI indicator combines 4H, daily, and weekly zones, showing significant interest and past turning points.
If the euro can hold or retake these key areas, momentum may build. If not, watch out for sharper reversals.
Bullish Scenario
A bullish story forms if the euro can do three things:
- Hold the 1.1360–1.1320 support and not close below it
- Maintain its bullish structure of three higher highs and higher lows
- Bounce strongly early in the week from the key demand zone
If these play out, the euro could initiate a fresh rally. The main target sits around 1.1700, with room for an even higher run if buyers don’t face resistance. The presence of volume cluster support gives this move additional weight. Even though the euro moved higher last week, the technical picture still supports possible long trades as long as this support zone doesn’t break. Momentum and positioning favor a push higher if key buyers step in.
Bearish Scenario & Downside Targets
A bearish twist could arrive if the euro slips below the critical 1.1360–1.1320 support and the rising trendline. There are strong signals to watch out for:
- Bollinger Band Warnings: Weekly duplication up and a bounce from the higher weekly supply.
- Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price moves up, but the indicator doesn’t confirm, hinting at waning strength.
- Volume Profile Breakdown: A sustained move below the KTLI confluence zone signals sellers are gaining.
If those triggers activate, the first major support is 1.1100. A deeper fall could test 1.1080, and in a stronger bearish wave, 1.0800 as far as the euro can sink in the mid-term. All traders should mark these levels.
A break and hold underneath the clustered support (confirmed by price action and volume) could make selling rallies the primary plan for the next two weeks.
Bearish targets:
- 1.1110
- 1.1080
- Possibly 1.0800
Technical traders should react, not guess, as the action unfolds.
EUR/USD Market Sentiment Snapshot
Market trend data show EUR/USD in limbo. Here are the short-term cues:
- 1 Month: Flat (0%)
- 7 Days: +0.5% (marginal change)
- 24 Hours: Slightly negative
This “waiting zone” aligns with the chart setups: traders are holding their breath ahead of a decisive push. The next one to three weeks will likely reveal the next big wave.
GBP/USD Analysis
Last Week’s Setup & Current Peak Formation
GBP/USD delivered what many anticipated: a push to a new peak, possibly the final run before sellers emerge. Resistance has been tough between 1.3500 and 1.3750.
This week, an evening star candle pattern formed commonly a sign that a top is taking shape. The weekly volume profile matches the story, showing big sellers have stepped back in. The setup now suggests GBP/USD is entering a battle for trend direction.
Bearish Indicators Building
The daily chart is waving a caution flag:
- Divergence Warnings: Price is making higher highs, but the MACD and RSI are making lower highs.
- This split often acts as an early sign of momentum loss—classic bearish divergence.
- Despite the rally, pressure from above is building.
When technical signals point in different directions, traders need to be cautious. It’s not the time to chase moves blindly.
Bearish Trading Plan for GBP/USD
Traders looking for short opportunities will want to see:
- Clear break below the most recent minor lows and trendline structure on lower timeframes
- Confirmation of breakdown via price and volume behavior
- After potential false breakouts (if they occur), sell the rallies into resistance instead of trying to pick a top
A last push higher to squeeze through the upper levels could complete the divergence. The mid-term and short-term support levels to keep in mind:
- Short-term support: Recent swing low (as seen on H4)
- Mid-term support: Just below the 1.3350 area
Entry confirmation is key. Only enter shorts if breakdown and retest line up. The risk is reduced, and the payoff improves.
Alternative Bullish Scenario & Longer-Term View
If sellers fail to drive the pound below support, a bounce may occur. Upside is likely capped given the stretched weekly chart, but the pound could retest or stall out at recent highs before entering a longer pause. After the correction stabilizes—likely following a drawn-out sideways or downward phase and shake-out of weak hands—GBP/USD could become attractive for new long trades. Patience is required, as the real buy opportunity may come after the next decline.
GBP/USD Trend Snapshot
Trend readings across multiple timeframes:
| Monthly | 7-Day | 24-Hour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | Bullish | Flat | Flat |
Flat action in the short-term is a warning: the market is undecided. Next moves will be key, so have both buy and sell levels ready. Let the market confirm before acting.
USD/JPY Analysis
Current Chart Structure Review
USD/JPY continues to build a triangle or channel, as discussed last week. Short-term corrections are in play, masking the underlying bearish structure Vladimir discussed on the weekly chart. A major second corrective move may still be needed before sellers regain control.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario
Keep an eye on:
- The critical 4-hour range
- Volume profile support zone (the area where recent support has clustered)
Should USD/JPY break below this area with conviction, a sharper sell-off could develop, targeting levels below 140.00. This would mark confirmation that the corrective moves are done and the primary trend resumes to the downside.
Bullish Support & Short-Term Bounce
Alternatively, if the pair holds that key support, short-term bounces can occur:
- The volume profile balance zone stands out as a solid support area.
- Bulls may try to retest previous peaks or spikes on the daily.
But once that test is over, sellers are likely to swarm back in. Approach any rally as a tradable bounce, not a trend change.
USD/JPY Momentum & Sentiment
USD/JPY has been bullish on almost every timeframe recently:
- Monthly: Up
- 7-Day: Up
- 24-Hour: Up
This is consistent with the current corrective rally. However, traders should stay alert for when sellers return. Bearish setups could reappear after the bounce is finished. As always, a break of key levels is the true signal.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Previous Week Recap & Current State
Last week, a breakout was on the watchlist, along with a possible rally. Gold followed the path, rebounding from divergence and retesting what used to be resistance—now acting as support. Prices now rest on a shelf built by strength, sentiment, and crowd psychology.
This area is a crossroads for the yellow metal.
Key Support Confluences
Several important technical factors combine here:
- Rising Trend Line: Support from past months, acting as a launch pad
- Volume Profile Zone: A major volume-based support area clusters here
- Middle Bollinger Band: Recent price action tested this, but hasn’t pushed through
On the higher timeframes, gold remains overbought. Bollinger Bands have been tight for over 20 candles. The last time this happened, a sharp drop followed. While timing is tough, history says to watch out for a shift.
Bearish Scenario & Sell-Off Potential
Recent behavior hints that a big sell-off is brewing. Here’s what to look for:
- Gold drops below the rising trend line and the $3,250 support
- Bears hold price below this level on successive closes
If that unfolds, bears could drag prices under the $3,000 mark. Use a “sell the rallies” strategy—wait for bounces to fail, then look for short entries. Risk levels are clearer, and profit potential rises during these large swings.
Bullish Alternative: Final Peak Potential
Bulls could snatch the initiative if gold clings to the support and volume keeps absorbing sellers:
- Next move: a run toward $3,500 and possibly higher
- This would likely act as the final peak before a major move down
Both upswings and reversals remain possible. Let the market tip its hand before committing capital.
Gold Market Indecision & Outlook
Gold is hesitating like other instruments—testing nerves and patience. Over the coming weeks, we’ll see whether sellers take control or if one last peak unfolds before reversal. Don’t force a trade when the market’s whispering “wait.”
Key Gold Levels:
- Support: Rising trend line and $3,250
- Upside target: $3,500
- Downside target: Below $3,000
Trading Strategy Summary & Action Plan
Recurring Themes Across Markets
The message is clear: markets are winding up for decisive moves. Each chart features strong support and resistance levels, with volume profile zones confirming the battlegrounds.
Divergences and candle structures present early warning signs. When combined with price and volume clues, they help traders strike at the right moment.
Recommended Tactics
Right now, flexibility and discipline win.
- Sell the rallies: Best suited for USD/JPY and Gold, possibly for EUR/USD and GBP/USD as well, if bearish levels break.
- Watch for confirmation. Don’t jump in before levels are breached and tested.
- Use stop-loss orders and clear profit targets, always based on current chart structures.
Execution matters as much as the plan. Don’t let emotion drive decisions.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Importance
Blending weekly, daily, and 4-hour perspectives brings clarity. It reveals how short-term moves fit inside larger trends. Mixing key indicators—MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and detailed volume profiles—gives a fuller picture.
Wrapping Up: The Trading Week Ahead
The Forex Weekly Forecast for June 9-13, 2025, highlights a crossroads in the market. Each asset—EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold—is trading near key levels that can redefine the coming weeks. Scenarios on both sides of the market are ready. Let the charts confirm your bias. Manage risk, focus on clarity, and be ready to pivot as new waves form. Ready to move with confidence? Have your plans mapped out, your alerts set, and your strategy clear. Good luck this week, and may you find opportunity where preparation meets price.